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Predicting the future

From Jules Verne to Bill Gates

Szerző
New York
Kiadó: M. Evans and Company
Kiadás helye: New York
Kiadás éve:
Kötés típusa: Fűzött kemény papírkötés
Oldalszám: 194 oldal
Sorozatcím:
Kötetszám:
Nyelv: Angol  
Méret: 24 cm x 16 cm
ISBN: 0-87131-830-X
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Fülszöveg

Attempts to predict the future are as old as humankind. Early forms of prediction were religious prophecies of salvation or damnation. In the 19th century, with the start of the Industrial Age, a new kind of prediction came into being, as people began to imagine future technological innovations extrapolated from what was already known. This book telis the stories behind scores of predictions made over the past 140 years. Each prediction, its date, and the name of the predictor is followed by a short essay focusing not only on whether or not it came true, but how it did or why it did not. There are startiing predictive successes-like airplanes, television, trips to the moon, and the atomic bomb-that came decades before their actuality. Apollo 9 splashed down in the Pacific only two miles from a spot picked out by Jules Verne a century earlier; H. G.Wells coined the term "atomic bomb" in 1913; Edward Bellamy wrote of credit cards in I 888. Predicting the future is a perilous business.... Tovább

Fülszöveg

Attempts to predict the future are as old as humankind. Early forms of prediction were religious prophecies of salvation or damnation. In the 19th century, with the start of the Industrial Age, a new kind of prediction came into being, as people began to imagine future technological innovations extrapolated from what was already known. This book telis the stories behind scores of predictions made over the past 140 years. Each prediction, its date, and the name of the predictor is followed by a short essay focusing not only on whether or not it came true, but how it did or why it did not. There are startiing predictive successes-like airplanes, television, trips to the moon, and the atomic bomb-that came decades before their actuality. Apollo 9 splashed down in the Pacific only two miles from a spot picked out by Jules Verne a century earlier; H. G.Wells coined the term "atomic bomb" in 1913; Edward Bellamy wrote of credit cards in I 888. Predicting the future is a perilous business. While a prediction that proves correct may considerably enhance your fame, your reputation can be forever clouded by a bad enough mistake. There are alsó those, several of whom you will meet in this book, who are best remembered for having got it dreadfully wrong-indeed somé poor souls are remembered only for that reason. Somé of the Vissza

John Malone

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