Things to Come

Fülszöveg

What are the chances of a nuctear confrontation iri the next decade? How will the rising influence of Japan affect the world's balance of economíc and political power? Is America's two-party system on the verge of collapse? These are somé of the questions Hermán Kahn and B. Bruce-Briggs answer ín this challenging new book, a discussion of what might happen from now until 1985. From the possibility of a new "missile gap" to the impact of technology on the performing arts, from the realignment of international power blocs to the prospects for further polarization in U.S. society, the authors analyze the most important potential developments-where, when, how, and why major changes (or no changes at all) might occur, and what significance these events (or nonevents) would have for America and for the world at large. Their goal is not to produce a detailed prediction of what will take place, but to provide a basis for discussion, planning, and action; and, in the process, to offer new... Tovább

Fülszöveg

What are the chances of a nuctear confrontation iri the next decade? How will the rising influence of Japan affect the world's balance of economíc and political power? Is America's two-party system on the verge of collapse? These are somé of the questions Hermán Kahn and B. Bruce-Briggs answer ín this challenging new book, a discussion of what might happen from now until 1985. From the possibility of a new "missile gap" to the impact of technology on the performing arts, from the realignment of international power blocs to the prospects for further polarization in U.S. society, the authors analyze the most important potential developments-where, when, how, and why major changes (or no changes at all) might occur, and what significance these events (or nonevents) would have for America and for the world at large. Their goal is not to produce a detailed prediction of what will take place, but to provide a basis for discussion, planning, and action; and, in the process, to offer new insights into the present. They describe, for example, the growing problem of educated incapacity, "an acquired or learned inability to understand or see a problem, much less a solution when a problem or the solution to a problem lies outside the accepted framework, an expert is often less likely to understand the situation or see the solution than an amateur." And they remind us of somé sobering historical facts: "Since the first slave landed in Jamestown in 1619, almost all Americans have believed to one degree or another that blacks were fundamentally inferior to whites." (Continued on back flap) Vissza